Valeria Gontareva
The head of the Russian VTB, having stated that there is no economy in Ukraine, and that it is possible to work in Ukraine, will not understand and think about leaving our market. But this does not at all mean that Russian banks will collapse soon
The first thing to write about scenarios for Russian banks is to clearly understand that the appearance of four large banks VTB, Sberbank, VEB (Prominvestbank) and Alfa Bank does not affect the economy. This is geopolitics and a great measure for the spy robots of the FSB (first for all the databases and smut - the fighters).
Let us return to the statement of VTB Clerk Andriy Kostin. He pulled out that the bank was ready to sell. It’s no secret that selling a bank at once is a utopia. No one needs it, especially those who care about the activities of the NBU. Therefore, the bank can only be sold “for political reasons” if the buyer is designated in the Russian Federation. However, such a scenario is dubious considering that there are global economic problems in Russia, and practically no one can buy VTB-Ukraine. Therefore, Kostin’s statement is either an ill-thought-out move (and is also being scuttled) or the expression of a clever strategic PR decision. If the statement is not well thought out, then this topic will simply be put on the “stop list” and the PR people will try this story and simply put it to rest.
Since this is a PR decision, it is important for us to understand what is going on. First of all, it is important to understand that the main rumor than the tirades about bank run-ups is not Gontarev or Poroshenko, but Volodymyr Putin. I really need to explain what the problem is with VTB, Sberbank and WEB. It’s up to you to tolerate or not to tolerate bumps.
Prote, the internal Russian arrangements are not to blame us especially. Where is more important - how will the NBU behave, which during the hours of Gontareva showed extreme loyalty to Russian banks and recently saw the refinancing of Prominvestbank (and not despite the fact that WEB is included in the sanction US list).
It can be said with great confidence that the base scenario for the coming month of advance: Russians publicly talk about those who can tolerate run-ups, and the NBU behind the scenes asks them not to leave the market, because All pennies in the fund do not guarantee deposits. With this, Russians will say that we will not ignore our investors and all the money will be paid to the last penny.
As a result, we see a wonderful story, including “honest and decent Russians” and short-lived Ukrainians who are ruining their own economy.
Where would it be more logical not to “clean” Ukrainian banks, not to bring down the working Khreshchatyk and not to finish off Privat, but to quietly bring out the Russians. Aletsiy Gontarev cannot and does not want to work. Their plans are to deprive a few European banks, all Russian ones and a couple of their own. And then they will ask the Russians to lose money.
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